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In a historic shift not seen since 2013, the U.S. housing market is now experiencing a significant reversal, sellers are outnumbering buyers. According to new data from Redfin, there are nearly 500,000 more homes on the market than there are active buyers, marking the first time in over a decade the supply has exceeded demand at this scale.
The spring selling season, typically one of the busiest times of year for real estate, has seen an unexpected chill. High mortgage rates hovering around 7%, persistent inflation concerns, and affordability challenges have discouraged potential buyers from entering the market.
"The market has reached a tipping point,” said a senior analyst at Redfin. “We’re seeing growing inventory and fewer bidding wars, even in previously hot metro areas like Austin and Phoenix."
Despite the imbalance, home prices continue to rise, though at a slower pace. The median existing-home price hit a record $414,000 in April 2025, up 1.8% from the previous year. Analysts attribute this to homeowners who bought or refinanced during the pandemic-era low interest rates and are now hesitant to move, resulting in an unusual inventory mix dominated by newly built or recently flipped homes.
"We're watching the dynamics very closely. While sellers may still list at aspirational prices, buyers are increasingly cautious and negotiating harder," one broker commented.
This shift offers a silver lining for prospective buyers who have struggled in a hyper-competitive market. With more choices and slightly less pressure, conditions may favor those looking to purchase, especially in suburban and exurban areas where listings are growing.
On the other hand, sellers are being advised to adjust expectations, both in terms of pricing and time on the market. “Homes aren’t flying off the shelves like they used to,” noted a real estate agent in Florida. “Presentation, pricing, and flexibility are now more important than ever.”
Experts suggest this could be the start of a rebalancing that the market desperately needs. However, whether this trend continues depends heavily on interest rate movements, inflation control, and consumer confidence in the second half of 2025.
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